The go-to source for comic book and superhero movie fans. Even though I’ve been a professional awards journalist for more than 30 years, I often keep falling for an old, sentimental assumption. 1967 — Spencer Tracy (“Guess Who’s Coming to Dinner”) lost Best Actor to Rod Steiger (“In the Heat of the Night”). Interest and anticipation builds to a fevered pitch leading up to the Oscar telecast, when hundreds of millions of movie lovers tune in to watch the glamorous ceremony and learn who will receive the highest honors in filmmaking. Watch our lively chats with 2021 Oscars contenders Sophia Loren (“The Life Ahead”) and Jared Leto (“The Little Things”) plus more, including …, © Copyright 2021 Gold Derby, a subsidiary of Penske Business Media, LLC. This stack is then reassigned according to voters’ second-place selection—say Robert Pattinson received the fewest first place votes, so his stack is then counted according to the second place selections. Todd Phillips’ “Joker,” a comic-book origin story about Batman’s biggest foe, scored a leading 11 Oscar nominations for the 92nd Academy Awards, including best … No I don’t. In other words, you have only fellow directors to blame for that Greta Gerwig snub, not the Academy at large. Awards Circuit's Clayton Davis looks at possible first-time Oscar nominees who should have already been nominated at the Academy Awards. 1984 — Ralph Richardson (“Sixth Earl of Greystoke”) lost Best Supporting Actor to Haing S. Ngor (“The Killing Fields”). He's the creator and author of Collider's "How the MCU Was Made" series and has interviewed Bill Hader about every single episode of Barry. Could Chadwick Boseman theoretically win 2 Oscars this year? Will 'Minari' cinematographer Lachlan Milne earn his first Oscar nom? At recent Emmys, you would’ve lost your shekels if you’d bet them on two tempting posthumous nominees: Fred Willard (Best Comedy Guest Actor, “Modern Family,” 2020) or Carrie Fisher (Best Comedy Guest Actress, “Catastrophe,” 2017). Christopher Plummer dead at 91: Our appreciation for the Oscar winner, ‘The Sound of Music,’ ‘Knives Out’ legend, Why ‘Schitt’s Creek’ likely won’t pull off another sweep at the Critics’ Choice Awards. Speak up and share your huffy opinions in our famous forums where 5,000 showbiz leaders lurk every day to track latest awards buzz. In this case, she automatically becomes a nominee. Wynton Marsalis We would like to show you a description here but the site won’t allow us. Make your predictions at Gold Derby now. The nomination ballots are initially sorted based on the voters’ first-place ranking. Who do you predict and why? Two precursor prizes — the Golden Globes and SAG Awards — announce their roster of nominees during the week of February 1. Two won. Download our free and easy app for Apple/iPhone devices or Android (Google Play) to compete against legions of other fans plus our experts and editors for best prediction accuracy scores. Don’t miss the fun. For this process, after the nominees have been chosen, everyone gets to vote on every category from the list of nominees chosen by that category’s experts. Of the 5 dead losers, one was clobbered TWICE after dying: James Dean. Well, after that first pass, the accountants of Pricewaterhouse Coopers (who are responsible for handling all this math mumbo jumbo) sort through the remaining ballots and remove the stack with the fewest votes. His defeats: 1956 — Nominated for “Giant,” he lost Best Actor to Yul Brenner (“The King and I”). Thanks to everyone who responded with lots of spooky old award races to dig up now. 1928-29 — Jeanne Eagels (“The Letter”) lost Best Actress at the second Oscars to Mary Pickford (“Coquette”) at the second Oscar ceremony. Covering the hottest movie and TV topics that fans want. Who decides who gets nominated? PREDICTthe 2021 Oscar nominations through March 15. 3. This “magic number” is tabulated by taking the total number of ballots received in a given category and dividing it by the total number of possible nominees plus one. Mickey Rooney was nominated at age 19 for his role in 1939’s Babes in Arms . Oscar Nominations 2020 Full List: 'Joker' Leads the Pack with 11 Nominations. Can you top our esteemed leaderboards next? For this category, a voting member must submit a list of between five and 10 nominees; for every other category, a voting member submits a list of no more than five nominees. 1995 — Massimo Troisi (“Il Postino”) lost Best Actor to Nicholas Cage (“Leaving Los Vegas”). How can voters fail to give their old pal one last hug? For example, only actors get to select nominees for the acting categories, and only directors get to select the nominees for Best Director. Make your predictions at Gold Derby now. But there have been quite a few dead acting contenders who didn’t get their big Lazarus scene. Do YOU? -- a win? Everybody wants to know: What do you think? Check it out! 'The Crown' rules SAG Awards nominations but who will win: Gillian Anderson, Olivia Colman or Emma…, Nicole Beharie ('Miss Juneteenth') on 'shocking' awards attention she's receiving [Complete Interview…, 16 Best Actress Oscar nominees or winners in musical biographic roles, including Renee Zellweger, Barbra…, Why 'Schitt's Creek' likely won't pull off another sweep at the Critics' Choice…, Adarsh Gourav delivers a 'sensational' performance in 'The White Tiger' and Independent Spirit Awards…, Can 'Homeland's' Claire Danes turn her surprising Critics' Choice comeback into a…. See our latest prediction champs. This year’s Nominations … Adam Chitwood is the Managing Editor for Collider. Well, it’s a complicated process involving lots of math, but here’s what you need to know. 1955 — Nominated for “East of Eden,” he lost Best Actor to Ernest Borgnine (“Marty”). This is where the math comes in. When scanning a list of nominees to make predictions and a dead body suddenly pops up – especially the ghost of someone who was beloved and respected across Hollywood – I’m tempted to pick that contender, thinking: Oh,  come on! 2018 Oscar Nominees Movie Posters 10; 2016 Oscar Nominees Movie Posters 10; Tom Hanks Films by Criteria 8; 2019 Oscar Nominees Movie Posters 8; 2017 Oscar Nominees Movie Posters 4; Best Picture & Nominee Match-Up … From here, once all the nominations ballots have been counted, new ballots are sent out to every Academy member. The 92nd Academy Awards will be aired live on ABC on February 9th. If a selection reaches enough first-place votes—sometimes called the “magic number”—it becomes a nominee. See latest Oscar predictions by our top Experts, Join our fierce discussions right now in our famous forums. However, when it comes to the Best Picture category, everyone gets to vote. For example, say the magic number is 333 and Saoirse Ronan received 337 Best Actress #1 votes. ... 2021 Academy Awards Predictions. — a win? But how do these individual ballots turn into the final nominations? Leaderboards: See who has best predictions at Gold Derby! 2021 SAG Awards expert predictions slugfest: Jared Leto scores again, ‘Mank’ scuffles, 2021 SAG Awards predictions slugfest: Editors rehash all the crazy snubs (Delroy Lindo) and pleasant surprises (‘Bridgerton’) [Video and audio podcast], WATCH OUR EXCLUSIVE ‘MEET THE BTL EXPERTS’ SERIES: Q&A chats with 80+ top contenders for crafts awards, WATCH 85 CHATS IN OUR SPECIAL ‘MEET THE BTL EXPERTS’ SERIES. But then what happens to everyone’s second, third, fourth, and fifth place votes? Sure, he could very well be this year’s Heath Ledger, who kept rising from the dead award show after award show until his Oscar resurrection was obviously inevitable. The Globes will be handed out at the end of the month, six days before Oscar nominations commences. There’s a branch for actors, a branch for directors, a branch for editing and so on and so forth. If a selection receives this magic number of votes (or more), it becomes a nominee. Here are my ranked 2021 Oscar predictions in Best Picture for December. Oscar Experts Typing: Is Glenn Close closing in on a nomination and -- gasp! Emmylou Harris The next-youngest actor nominated for the Oscar is a full 10 years older than Cooper. Nominees for each category are selected by votes from members of these specific branches. Download at the Apple or Google Play Stores to compete for best accuracy scores against our Experts, Editors and Users while predicting the Oscars, ”, ‘Dancing with the Stars,” “Big Brother” and all Hollywood races! So after the final list of nominations is announced, Rob Lowe gets to vote not only for Best Actor, but also for Best Costume Design, Best Short Film, and Best Cinematography. The Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences is made up of around 7,000 filmmakers and film professionals, and these are the people that vote for the Oscars. The 92nd Academy Awards will be aired live on ABC on February 9th. (In the nine years the Academy has used the system, meanwhile, it has produced eight nominees three times and nine nominees six times.) Make YOUR predictions at Gold Derby: Win prizes! So while the nomination process is shepherded by experts in every individual category, the final winners are chosen by the esteemed members of the entire Academy. There have been seven posthumous nominees in the acting categories in Oscar history. Oscar Experts Typing: Is Glenn Close closing in on a nomination and — gasp! The Emmy is an industry peer-group award just like the Oscar and so it sometimes holds a lesson for film-award fans. 2015 Oscar Nominees Movie Posters 17; 2018 Oscar Nominees Movie Posters 10; Click the Three Word Movies 9; 2016 Oscar Nominees Movie Posters 9; Tom Hanks Films by Criteria 8; Double-Letter Best Picture Winners 4; 2017 Oscar Nominees Movie Posters 4; Best Picture & Nominee Match-Up 3; Oscar Nominees (2009) 2 Each January, the entertainment community and film fans around the world turn their attention to the Academy Awards. With the Oscar nominations for the 92d Academy Awards announced this morning, you may be wondering how, exactly, do these Oscar nominations work? Did you write the script? Joel and Ethan ...", "Jamie Lee Curtis is the most interesting multi-decade(r), she’...", "tom92 wrote: The buzziest winners and nominees and best red-carpet fashions are on full display for the 92nd annual Academy Awards on Sunday, Feb. 9, 2020. 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Alicia Vikander accepts the Oscar® for Performance by an actress in a supporting role, for her role in “The Danish Girl” BB-8, R2-D2, C-3PO at The … And that, ladies and gentlemen, is how Oscar nominees are chosen. PREDICT NOW: Who will win ‘Rupaul’s Drag Race’? PREDICT NOW: Who will win ‘The Masked Dancer’? To compile a thorough tally of them all, I created a thread in our forums and invited all Derbyites to pipe in. Film winner there went on to earn at least one Oscar nomination and the overwhelming majority end up as Best Picture nominees or winners. Other than Ledger, the other champ was Peter Finch (“Network”), who dropped dead of a heart attack while he was Oscar and Golden Globe campaigning vigorously in the lobby of the Beverly Hills Hotel. PHOTO GALLERY: ‘Masked Singer’ reveals for all seasons, ‘Rupaul’s Drag Race’ Predictions: Episode 7, ‘Rupaul’s Drag Race’ Predictions: Episode 6, PHOTO GALLERY: ‘RuPaul’s Drag Race’ winners list. When submitting a list of preferred nominees, Academy members rank them according to preference. You have to either go through a rigorous application process or be invited to join The Academy (almost every nominee gets an invite), and the organization itself is divided up into 17 specific branches. Andra Day is trying to follow in the Oscar footsteps of Mary J. Blige, Lady Gaga and Cynthia Erivo. Join the Discussion in our Reality TV Forums, Watch our chats with top BTL awards contenders: costumes, music, docs, cinematography and …, Oscar Predictions slugfests: Experts, Gold Derby Editors & Users, Exclusive Q&As: 2021 Emmy, Globe, SAG TV contenders, Latest Oscar Best Actor predictions by 30 Experts, the 2021 Oscar nominations through March 15, Latest prediction odds on Oscar frontrunners. Deadline Media, Get our free, urgent prediction updates and news, Golden Globes predictions (Film): Top 24 All Stars, Golden Globes Predictions (TV): Top 24 All Stars, SAG Awards TV Predictions: Top 24 All Star Users, Leaderboards: See All Past Prediction Accuracy Scores, Leaderboards: Best Prediction Accuracy Scores for Film, TV and Music Awards, Leaderboards; Best TV Show Predictions by Gold Derby Users, Find a User or Expert / Download Gold Derby’s Free, New App, ‘The Masked Dancer’ Predictions: Episode 7, ‘The Masked Dancer’ Predictions: Episode 6. He lives in Tulsa, OK and likes pasta, 90s thrillers, and spending like 95% of his time with his dog Luna. The ballots continue to be redistributed in this manner until the magic number is reached or until there are only five nominees remaining. In honor of Oscars 2020, we revisit the 15 youngest Oscar winners and nominees of all time: Tatum O'Neal, Haley Joel Osment, Jackie Cooper and more. Did you se...", "I’m predicting two nominations but I don’t think he ...". Now we Oscar pundits must brutally ask ourselves a tough question: Is Chadwick Boseman (“Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom”) really a shoo-in to win Best Actor, as our Expects, Editors and Users overwhelmingly predict? Ever wonder how the Academy chooses which films are nominated? 'Y: 1883' comes from series co-creator Taylor Sheridan and will dig into the history of the Dutton family. Get the latest news about the 2020 Oscars, including nominations, winners, predictions and red carpet fashion at 92nd Academy Awards Oscar.com. 'Your Honor' shocker: Golden Globes, not SAG Awards, nominate Bryan Cranston, Christopher Plummer dead at 91: Our appreciation for the Oscar winner, 'The Sound of Music,' 'Knives Out'…, "I think he has a good chance of winning BSA in David O. Russell&...", "Denzel Washington How accurate are Gold Derby's predictions? 'Yellowstone' Is Getting a Prequel Series - Watch the First Teaser, Oscar Nominations 2020 Full List: 'Joker' Leads the Pack with 11 Nominations, Academy of Motion Picture Arts & Sciences, More But beware: that kind of thinking often comes back to haunt you later. Always remember to keep your predictions updated because they impact our latest racetrack odds, which terrify Hollywood chiefs and stars. 68: Tom Holland Up for Willy Wonka, Ethan Hawke to Battle Moon Knight, Here’s What’s Leaving Netflix in February 2021, ‘The Courier’ Trailer Has Benedict Cumberbatch Smuggling Secrets in a Movie with Major Dad Movie Energy, Here's What's New on Hulu in February 2021. He's been working for Collider for over a decade, and in addition to managing content also runs point on crafts interviews, awards coverage, and co-hosts The Collider Podcast with Matt Goldberg (which has been running since 2012).